Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 388.793793 442.032449 501.377988 572.702562 656.447631 752.079707 870.154417
2025-09-21 307.144448 375.885529 459.610940 570.161042 713.884538 896.618012 1150.102383
2025-09-28 253.026029 324.261842 416.037245 544.855896 724.105715 969.427174 1338.984592
2025-10-05 230.718778 307.516366 411.351426 565.114059 792.458891 1125.229288 1666.740671
2025-10-12 215.462166 297.095594 412.211266 590.955904 870.089522 1304.682060 2065.141736
2025-10-19 197.052379 279.395190 399.624562 593.886353 911.716297 1433.756870 2407.904829
2025-10-26 177.318362 257.253434 377.380482 578.054699 919.611939 1507.086370 2666.991922
2025-11-02 161.859858 239.794036 360.049873 567.235481 933.173768 1590.731336 2961.750313
2025-11-09 154.226209 233.559101 359.432308 583.544088 995.486235 1771.943565 3492.059928
2025-11-16 144.060463 222.226461 349.199808 581.693733 1023.986379 1893.176376 3925.342357
2025-11-23 134.118081 210.321768 336.743019 574.158788 1040.197666 1992.019815 4332.770825
2025-11-30 127.072290 202.600125 330.596452 577.247682 1077.278316 2140.282910 4897.981720
2025-12-07 118.081184 191.002380 316.905338 565.101202 1082.905259 2224.116562 5332.952183
2025-12-14 111.322902 182.761615 308.498326 562.290546 1107.929311 2357.329416 5944.662976
2025-12-21 102.203869 169.644184 290.050669 537.415190 1081.422629 2363.855443 6198.643092
2025-12-28 99.813579 168.398604 293.479695 557.342186 1157.850961 2637.822443 7351.287659
2026-01-04 98.202070 168.414906 299.241191 582.759499 1251.124679 2976.407180 8851.936244
2026-01-11 94.074203 163.410876 294.794569 585.641573 1290.793086 3180.327984 9979.567938
2026-01-18 88.280883 154.844804 282.601495 570.070707 1282.306228 3247.276692 10633.225737
2026-01-25 83.468582 147.849254 273.031539 559.428936 1284.960060 3347.893563 11465.023104
2026-02-01 81.658688 146.560805 274.981407 575.469823 1360.125676 3685.835906 13442.692173
2026-02-08 78.270571 141.923284 269.597249 573.649915 1386.852827 3878.510020 14890.595236
2026-02-15 74.619944 136.529190 262.209306 566.238767 1396.988730 4019.857034 16179.039367